Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 4.666485e-05 0.000055 0.000063 0.000073 0.000084 0.000095 0.000108
2025-01-05 3.598296e-05 0.000046 0.000057 0.000071 0.000087 0.000105 0.000126
2025-01-12 2.825270e-05 0.000039 0.000052 0.000068 0.000088 0.000111 0.000139
2025-01-19 2.223512e-05 0.000033 0.000047 0.000065 0.000088 0.000115 0.000149
2025-01-26 1.811773e-05 0.000029 0.000043 0.000063 0.000089 0.000120 0.000160
2025-02-02 1.647702e-05 0.000028 0.000044 0.000066 0.000095 0.000131 0.000179
2025-02-09 1.430850e-05 0.000026 0.000042 0.000066 0.000098 0.000139 0.000193
2025-02-16 1.393455e-05 0.000026 0.000044 0.000071 0.000107 0.000154 0.000217
2025-02-23 1.238066e-05 0.000025 0.000043 0.000071 0.000111 0.000162 0.000232
2025-03-02 9.871631e-06 0.000021 0.000039 0.000067 0.000108 0.000161 0.000235
2025-03-09 8.118010e-06 0.000019 0.000037 0.000065 0.000106 0.000163 0.000242
2025-03-16 6.784207e-06 0.000017 0.000034 0.000063 0.000106 0.000165 0.000249
2025-03-23 5.410458e-06 0.000015 0.000032 0.000062 0.000108 0.000171 0.000264
2025-03-30 4.227829e-06 0.000013 0.000030 0.000060 0.000108 0.000177 0.000277
2025-04-06 3.164689e-06 0.000011 0.000028 0.000058 0.000108 0.000180 0.000287
2025-04-13 2.270786e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000055 0.000106 0.000181 0.000295
2025-04-20 1.679166e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000053 0.000106 0.000185 0.000306
2025-04-27 1.496026e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000056 0.000112 0.000198 0.000331
2025-05-04 1.197765e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000056 0.000115 0.000206 0.000348
2025-05-11 1.185214e-06 0.000007 0.000024 0.000060 0.000125 0.000225 0.000382
2025-05-18 9.681789e-07 0.000007 0.000024 0.000061 0.000128 0.000235 0.000402
2025-05-25 6.225690e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000057 0.000125 0.000233 0.000405
2025-06-01 4.147180e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000055 0.000123 0.000234 0.000413